Upcoming provincial election in Canada 31st Alberta general election * * * | <- 2019 | Scheduled for May 29, 2023 (Scheduled for May 29, 2023) | | | <- outgoing members * * * All 87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta 44 seats needed for a majority Opinion polls | | | | Leader | Danielle Smith | Rachel Notley Party | United Conservative | New Democratic Leader since | October 6, 2022 | October 18, 2014 Leader's seat | Brooks-Medicine Hat | Edmonton-Strathcona Last election | 63 seats, 54.88% | 24 seats, 32.67% Current seats | 60 | 23 Seats needed | | 21 * * * | WIP Leader | Barry Morishita | Jeevan Mangat (interim) Party | Alberta Party | Wildrose Independence Leader since | August 31, 2021 | October 21, 2022 Leader's seat | Running in Brooks-Medicine Hat[1] | Running in Brooks-Medicine Hat[2] Last election | 0 seats, 9.08% | pre-creation Current seats | 0 | 0 Seats needed | 44 | 44 * * * | Incumbent Premier Danielle Smith United Conservative | The 31st Alberta general election is scheduled by law to be held on May 29, 2023[3] to elect the members of the Legislative Assembly of Alberta. Election dates are fixed under Alberta's Election Act but that does not affect the powers of the Lieutenant Governor of Alberta to specify a different day in accordance with provisions in the aforementioned Act, the Constitution of Canada and the usual conventions of the Westminster parliamentary system. ## Contents * 1 Background * 2 Timeline * 2.1 2019 * 2.2 2020 * 2.3 2021 * 2.4 2022 * 3 Incumbent MLAs not seeking re-election * 4 Opinion polling * 5 Opinion poll sources * 6 References * 6.1 Footnotes * 7 External links ## Background[edit] In the 2019 general election, the United Conservative Party under the leadership of Jason Kenney defeated incumbent Premier Rachel Notley and her New Democratic Party. During the ensuing 30th Alberta Legislature the United Conservatives formed a majority government with Kenney as Premier. Notley and the NDP formed the Official Opposition. No other party won a seat even though the Alberta Party had received 9% of the vote. In preparation for the next general election, the government adopted the Election Statutes Amendment Act, 2021 (No. 2) (Bill 81 of the second session). The amendments altered the fixed election date to be the last Monday in May unless the Lieutenant Governor dissolves the Legislature sooner; raised election spending limits for political parties and for nomination contestants; and prohibited third-party advertisers who have a certain type of affiliation to a political party.[4] ## Timeline[edit] ### 2019[edit] * April 16: The United Conservative Party (UCP) wins a majority government in the 30th Alberta General Election, defeating the previous Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP) government which had governed since 2015. No other parties won seats in the election. * April 30: Jason Kenney is sworn in as the 18th premier of Alberta. The first UCP cabinet is likewise sworn in.[5] Derek Fildebrandt resigns as leader of the Freedom Conservative Party of Alberta.[6] * May 21: Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills MLA Nathan Cooper is elected Speaker of the Legislative Assembly.[7] * June 30: Stephen Mandel resigns as leader of the Alberta Party.[8][9] * September 4: Cheryle Chagnon-Greyeyes resigns as leader of the Green Party of Alberta. Will Carnegie is appointed interim leader.[10][11] ### 2020[edit] * February 10: Former PC MLA Jacquie Fenske is announced as acting leader of the Alberta Party.[12][13] * March 28: Jordan Wilkie is elected leader of the Green Party of Alberta.[14] * June 29: Members of Wexit Alberta and the Freedom Conservative Party of Alberta voted to approve a merger into the Wildrose Independence Party of Alberta (WIP).[15] * July 17: The WIP announced that Paul Hinman would serve as interim leader until the party's founding convention and leadership contest.[16] * November 22: Alberta Liberal Party Leader David Khan resigns.[17] ### 2021[edit] * January 4: Six UCP MLAs are demoted by Jason Kenney for travelling internationally during the COVID-19 pandemic in Alberta.[18] * January 14: Pat Rehn is removed from the UCP caucus to sit as an independent. Jason Kenney cited a lack of constituency work as the reason for the removal.[19] * March 6: John Roggeveen is appointed interim leader of the Alberta Liberal Party.[20] * April 7: 17 UCP MLAs sign an open letter criticizing the Alberta government for reimposing more stringent public health restrictions aimed at combatting COVID-19.[21][22] * May 13: UCP MLA Todd Loewen resigns as UCP Caucus Chair and releases a letter calling on Jason Kenney to resign.[23] Loewen and Drew Barnes are expelled from the UCP caucus through a caucus-wide vote. Both MLAs had criticized the UCP government's response to COVID-19. Both will sit as independents.[24][25] * July 13: Paul Hinman is elected leader of the WIP.[26] * July 14: Pat Rehn, Independent MLA for Lesser Slave Lake rejoins the UCP Caucus.[27][28] * August 15: Laila Goodridge resigns as the UCP MLA for Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche to run in the 2021 Canadian federal election.[29] * August 31: Barry Morishita is acclaimed as leader of the Alberta Party.[30] * November 15: 22 UCP constituency associations announce they have passed special motions calling for a review of Jason Kenney's leadership by March 1, 2022.[31] * December 21: NDP MLA Thomas Dang resigns from the NDP caucus after the RCMP search his home.[32] ### 2022[edit] * March 15: Brian Jean, a former leader of the Wildrose Party, won the Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche by-election for the UCP.[33] * March 24: UCP MLAs Jason Stephan and Peter Guthrie call on Jason Kenney to resign.[34] * May 18: Jason Kenney won 51.4% of votes in favour of him staying as leader in a UCP leadership review vote. However, he announced he would resign shortly after the result was revealed.[35] * May 19: The UCP caucus meets and decides to keep Jason Kenney as party leader and premier until a successor is chosen.[36] * August 31: Doug Schweitzer resigns as the UCP MLA for Calgary-Elbow weeks after resigning from cabinet.[37] * October 6: The results of the UCP leadership election were announced, with former Wildrose Party leader Danielle Smith elected leader and therefore the next premier. In her victory speech, she invited former UCP MLA and fellow leadership candidate Todd Loewen back into caucus.[38] * October 7: Michaela Frey, UCP MLA for Brooks-Medicine Hat resigns her seat and urges premier-designate Smith to run in a by-election there.[39] Todd Loewen rejoins the UCP caucus.[40] * October 11: Danielle Smith is sworn in as the 19th premier of Alberta.[41] * October 21: Wildrose Independence Party leader Paul Hinman is removed as leader by a court decision. Jeevan Mangat is named interim party leader. Hinman is appealing the decision.[42][43] * November 8: Danielle Smith wins by-election in Brooks-Medicine Hat.[44] ## Incumbent MLAs not seeking re-election[edit] The following MLAs have announced that they would not run in the 2023 provincial election: Retiring incumbent | Electoral District | Subsequent nominee | Elected MLA | | | | Thomas Dang | Independent | Edmonton-South | Rhiannon Hoyle | Deron Bilous | New Democratic | Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview | Peggy Wright | Jon Carson | New Democratic | Edmonton-West Henday | Brooks Arcand-Paul | Richard Feehan | New Democratic | Edmonton-Rutherford | Jodi Calahoo Stonehouse | Mark Smith[45] | United Conservative | Drayton Valley-Devon | | Richard Gotfried | United Conservative | Calgary-Fish Creek | | Roger Reid | United Conservative | Livingstone-Macleod | | Ron Orr | United Conservative | Lacombe-Ponoka | | Brad Rutherford | United Conservative | Leduc-Beaumont | ## Opinion polling[edit] Voting intentions in Alberta since the 2019 election The following is a list of published opinion polls of voter intentions. Pollster | Client | Dates conducted | Source | UCP | NDP | Alberta | Liberal | IPA | Green | WIP | Others | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Janet Brown Opinion Research | CBC | Oct 12–30, 2022 | [p 1] | 38% | 47% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 2.8% | 1,200 | Telephone | 9% Navigator Ltd. | N/A | Oct 7–11, 2022 | [p 2] | 38% | 53% | 4% | — | — | — | — | 5% | 3.5% | 1,002 | Online | 15% Leger | Postmedia | Oct 7–10, 2022 | [p 3] | 42% | 44% | 3% | 4% | — | — | 4% | 4% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Online | 2% | October 6, 2022 | Danielle Smith elected leader of the UCP and is appointed premier on October 11th. Angus Reid | N/A | Sep 19–21, 2022 | [p 4][p 5] | 47% | 41% | 4% | 2% | — | — | 5% | 1% | 3% | 598 | Online | 6% Leger | Postmedia | Sep 1–5, 2022 | [p 6] | 44% | 41% | 4% | 2% | — | — | 4% | 3% | 3.1% | 1,006 | Online | 3% Leger | Postmedia | July 15–17, 2022 | [p 7] | 41% | 45% | 5% | 2% | — | — | 4% | 3% | 3.1% | 1,025 | Online | 4% Angus Reid | N/A | June 7–13, 2022 | [p 8] | 42% | 40% | 6% | 2% | — | — | 9% | 2% | 4% | 592 | Online | 2% Counsel | N/A | June 8–11, 2022 | [p 9] | 37% | 42% | 5% | — | — | — | 8% | 9% | 3.5% | 788 | Online | 5% Leger | N/A | May 20–23, 2022 | [p 10] | 42% | 40% | 3% | 3% | — | — | 5% | 4% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Online | 2% | May 18, 2022 | Jason Kenney announced his intention to resign as premier of Alberta and leader of the UCP. ThinkHQ | N/A | Mar 29–April 1, 2022 | [p 11] | 34% | 46% | 5% | 2% | — | — | 13% | 2% | 2.9% | 1,135 | Online | 12% Mainstreet Research | N/A | Mar 23–24, 2022 | [p 12] | 37% | 40% | 6% | 2% | — | 1% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 1,290 | IVR | 3% Leger | N/A | Mar 18–20, 2022 | [p 13] | 35% | 44% | 3% | 4% | — | — | 8% | 6% | 3.1% | 1,002 | Online | 9% Angus Reid | N/A | Mar 10–15, 2022 | [p 14][p 15] | 38% | 40% | 6% | 2% | — | — | 11% | 3% | 4% | 584 | Online | 2% Research Co. | N/A | Mar 11–13, 2022 | [p 16] | 30% | 45% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 4% | 600 | Online | 15% Janet Brown Opinion Research | N/A | Feb 25–March 10, 2022 | [p 17] | 40% | 36% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.3% | 900 | Telephone | 4% Yorkville Strategies | N/A | Mar 3–9, 2022 | [p 18] | 44% | 39% | 4% | 3% | — | — | 8% | 2% | 4% | 600 | Telephone | 5% Angus Reid | N/A | Jan 7–12, 2022 | [p 19] | 31% | 42% | 8% | 1% | — | — | 16% | 2% | 4% | 548 | Online | 11% Leger | Postmedia | Dec 2–5, 2021 | [p 20] | 32% | 43% | — | — | — | — | 10% | — | 2.8% | 1,249 | Online | 11% Nanos | Yellowstone to Yukon | Oct 13–November 1, 2021 | [p 21] | 38.8% | 47.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | — | 0.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 801 | Online | 8.4% Mainstreet Research | Western Standard | Oct 12–13, 2021 | [p 22] | 29% | 45% | 6% | 2% | — | 1% | 13% | — | 3.2% | 935 | IVR | 16% Commonground | N/A | Sep 21–October 6, 2021 | [p 23] | 26.9% | 49.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | — | — | 5.3% | 6.4% | N/A | 1,204 | Online | 22.6% Innovative Research | N/A | Sep 24–October 5, 2021 | [p 24] | 29% | 45% | 5% | 9% | — | 2% | 8% | 1% | N/A | 672 | Online | 16% Angus Reid | N/A | Sep 29–October 3, 2021 | [p 25] | 31% | 43% | 7% | 2% | — | 1% | 15% | 2% | 2.0% | 552 | Online | 12% Innovative Research | N/A | Sep 10–12, 2021 | [p 26] | 31% | 44% | 5% | 8% | — | 4% | 7% | 1% | N/A | 209 | Online | 13% Leger | Postmedia | July 22–26, 2021 | [p 27] | 34% | 45% | 6% | 4% | — | — | 8% | 2% | 3% | 1,377 | Online | 11% Angus Reid | N/A | June 2–7, 2021 | [p 28] | 30% | 41% | 7% | 1% | — | — | 20% | 2% | 4% | 502 | Online | 11% Mainstreet Research | Western Standard | May 19–20, 2021 | [p 29] | 31% | 38% | 6% | 3% | — | 3% | 17% | — | 3% | 1,010 | IVR | 7% Janet Brown Opinion Research | CBC | Mar 15–April 10, 2021 | [p 30] | 37% | 45% | 6% | — | — | — | 6% | 7% | 2.1% | 1,200 | Online | 8% Leger | Calgary Herald | Mar 5–8, 2021 | [p 31] | 30% | 51% | 5% | 7% | — | — | — | 6% | 3.1% | 1,001 | Online | 21% Commonground | N/A | Mar 1–8, 2021 | [p 32] | 32% | 42% | 5% | 6% | — | — | 4% | 9% | N/A | 802 | Online | 9% Angus Reid | N/A | Feb 26–March 3, 2021 | [p 33][p 34] | 38% | 41% | 10% | 2% | — | 1% | — | 11% | 4% | 603 | Online | 3% Mainstreet Research | Western Standard | Jan 6–7, 2021 | [p 35] | 31% | 48% | 4% | 3% | — | 2% | 10% | 2% | 3.1% | 1,003 | Smart IVR | 17% Research Co. | N/A | Dec 2–4, 2020 | [p 36] | 40% | 43% | 9% | 2% | — | 2% | 2% | — | 4% | 600 | Online | 3% Angus Reid | N/A | Nov 24–30, 2020 | [p 37][p 38] | 43% | 39% | 10% | 2% | — | 1% | — | 5% | — | 553 | Online | 4% Environics Research | CUPE | Nov 10–23, 2020 | [p 39] | 40% | 47% | 8% | — | — | — | — | 5% | — | 1,205 | — | 7% Angus Reid | N/A | Aug 26–Sept 1, 2020 | [p 40][p 41] | 38% | 38% | 9% | 2% | 7% | 1% | — | 5% | 4% | 512 | Online | Tie Commonground | N/A | Aug 17–30, 2020 | [p 42] | 37% | 30% | — | 11% | — | — | — | 21% | N/A | 824 | Online | 7% Innovative Research Group | N/A | Jul 14–20, 2020 | [p 43] | 42% | 32% | 9% | 12% | — | 3% | — | 3% | — | 300 | Online | 10% Innovative Research Group | N/A | Jun 19–June 23, 2020 | [p 44] | 44% | 38% | 5% | 6% | — | 3% | — | 3% | — | 267 | Online | 6% Innovative Research Group | N/A | May 29–June 1, 2020 | [p 45] | 42% | 28% | 11% | 14% | — | 3% | — | 2% | — | 276 | Online | 14% Janet Brown Opinion Research | CBC | May 25–June 1, 2020 | [p 46] | 46% | 36% | 10% | 6% | — | — | — | 3% | 3.3% | 900 | Online | 10% Angus Reid | N/A | May 19–24, 2020 | [p 47][p 48] | 42% | 36% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 2% | — | 4% | 1.4% | 580 | Online | 6% Northwest Research Poll | Western Standard | May 14–19, 2020 | [p 49] | 40% | 34% | 8% | 7% | — | 1% | 10% | — | 3% | 1,094 | IVR | 6% Innovative Research Group | N/A | May 1–5, 2020 | [p 50] | 45% | 30% | 6% | 8% | — | 7% | — | 2% | — | 314 | Online | 15% Angus Reid | N/A | Feb 24–28, 2020 | [p 51][p 52] | 40% | 36% | 8% | 2% | 9% | 1% | — | 4% | — | 555 | Online | 4% Mainstreet Research | 338Canada | Feb 22, 2020 | [p 53] | 47% | 38% | 6% | 4% | — | — | — | 5% | 4% | 751 | IVR | 9% Stratcom | N/A | Nov 21, 2019 | [p 54] | 42% | 46% | — | — | — | — | — | 12% | 2.2% | 1,798 | IVR | 4% Lethbridge College | N/A | Oct 5-10, 2019 | [p 55] | 58.1% | 23.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | — | — | — | 5.2% | 3.17% | 953 | Telephone | 34.9% 2019 general election | April 16, 2019 | | 54.9% | 32.7% | 9.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | — | 1.2% | — | — | — | 22.2% Pollster | Client | Dates conducted | Source | | | | | | | | Others | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead UCP | NDP | 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